What is AGI?

AGI, or artificial general intelligence, refers to AI that matches or exceeds human-level performance across a wide range of tasks. The term has been applied to specific models like OpenAI’s O3, but definitions and timelines vary among experts.

• Dec 2025 - Tyler Cowen called OpenAI’s O3 model AGI, noting it can’t do every job but meets the old definition of being as good as human experts.
• Dec 2025 - Arvind Jain stated, “I think we have AGI. I think we have artificial general intelligence. We really have it.”
• Dec 2025 - Mike Israetel predicted AGI would arrive in 2029, 2030, or 2031.
• Apr 2026 - Demis Hassabis estimated the number of AGIs at “20 or 30” and said his betting is “about 50/50” on whether more than one or two exist.