25 Aug 2026
Signal Headquarters
Vol. I
No. 237
Reference

What is Clarity Act?

Clarity Act

The Clarity Act is a proposed U.S. federal bill (H.R. 3633) that aims to establish a regulatory framework for digital assets and payment stablecoins, splitting jurisdiction between the SEC and CFTC. As of mid-2026, industry observers debate its prospects and impact, with some seeing it as a key step toward regulatory clarity and others questioning its approach.

How it developed

  • May 2026 - Alex Thorn said there is a 75% chance the Clarity Act gets signed into law this year, and that banks and brokerages are not tabling crypto conversations pending its passage.
  • May 2026 - Alex Thorn noted the White House signaled it could accept the ethics provision as long as it does not solely single out the president or vice president.
  • Jun 2026 - Ron Hammond said banks have pivoted from the yield issue, acknowledging the Clarity Act’s yield amendment is done, and he put the odds of passage at 45%.
  • Jul 2026 - Jason Yanowitz said he does not know a single person who thinks crypto clarity will come in a new Congress, and that the Trump family’s crypto earnings have made some members of Congress focused on the issue.
  • Aug 2026 - Jim said he looks at things like the Genius Act and the Clarity Act and thinks those are the wrong things to do.
  • Aug 2026 - Jason Calacanis said that once a token is resold by someone other than the issuer or their agent, it stops counting as a security for that transaction.
  • Aug 2026 - Luke Gromen said that stuffing stablecoins with T-bills could allow cutting the rate down to 60 basis points.

In the evidence

Every line below is attributed to a named speaker.

Best explained

The Clarity Act defines decentralization with measurable thresholds: fully open source, permissionless, no unilateral censorship ability, and no single entity holding more than 49% of outstanding units.

“Fully open source, you have to be permissionless and incredibly neutral. So, there can't be a person or group that has unilateral ability to restrict, censor, or prohibit use of the system at all. It has to be distributed and they define that. You can't have more than 49% of outstanding units.”
Ryan Sean Adams · 15 May 2026
Best explained

Greg Xethalis explains how the Clarity Act compresses crypto regulatory ambiguity from 80 percent of the field down to the final 10 to 20 yards, dramatically reducing the need for costly big-law counsel on most projects.

“3 years ago, we were still in a world where 80% of the field was unknown. Your red zone was 80% 80 yards. Now, we've shrunk that down where you're only going to have to call a big law firm and spend a ton of money on the last 10 or 20 yards, the true red zone.”
Greg Xethalis · 23 Jul 2026
Best explained

Bank CEOs shifted their Clarity Act opposition from yield to AML arguments after conceding the yield amendment battle was already lost, illustrating how incumbent opposition adapts its framing rather than retreating.

“Jamie Diamond, we just crap on the Clarity Act this weekend. Like he pivoted from like the banks have now pivoted from the yield issue because they know they've lost that issue and they know from the drafters who made that amendment. They said this is done. Like hey, like this is the yield amendment and it ain't going to move anywhere. So the banks realize they're not going to get 60 votes in the amendment to change it. So now Jamie Diamond, all these other CEOs are saying, 'Oh, there's an AML issue.'”
Ron Hammond · 4 Jun 2026
Best explained

Luke Gromen explains the stablecoin Clarity Act as a Treasury funding mechanism: forcing stablecoins to hold T-bills creates a new captive buyer, enabling the Treasury to suppress short-term rates to around 60 basis points and escape a fiscal death spiral.

“I need to stuff stable coins with T- billills so I can cut the rate down to 60 basis points and boom.”
Luke Gromen · 20 Aug 2026
Worth quoting

Jason Yanowitz on the realistic legislative window for crypto market structure clarity.

“I don't know a single person who thinks that we are going to get clarity in a new Congress.”
Jason Yanowitz · 17 Jul 2026
By the numbers

The Trump family has made over 1 billion dollars in crypto-related business, drawing Congressional scrutiny of the Clarity Act.

“The Trump family had made over a billion dollars and kind of crypto-related business over the last And that has gotten certain members of Congress very focused.”
Jason Yanowitz · 17 Jul 2026
By the numbers

Ron Hammond puts Clarity Act passage odds at 45%, versus Alex Thorne's 70% estimate, a 25-point gap between two close Washington observers.

“I'm at 45%.”
Ron Hammond · 4 Jun 2026
Contrarian take

Many crypto insiders privately believe the Trump token and World Liberty Financial have slowed Clarity Act progress, contradicting the public narrative that the Trump administration is a net positive for crypto legislation.

“I think there's a general perspective, even though a lot of people wouldn't say this publicly, that they would have, you know, we'd be much further along in terms of some of these things like Clarity.”
Jason Yanowitz · 17 Jul 2026
Best explained

The Clarity Act bars stablecoin yield derived directly from Treasury yields, but a net-new yield source that is merely inspired by Treasury rates may legally be passed to stablecoin holders, creating a regulatory loophole issuers are exploring.

“The yield is completely generative of a net new source which is inspired by the treasury yield but it is not the same thing.”
Ryan Sean Adams · 5 Jun 2026
Best explained

The ethics provision in the Clarity Act is its single biggest legislative risk. The White House is open to it only if it applies broadly and does not exclusively target the president or vice president.

“The White House has pretty much signaled that as long as the ethics provision does not solely single out the president or vice president the constitutional officers that they represent they could be for they could be okay with it.”
Alex Thorn · 18 May 2026
Signal Headquarters · reference note, compiled from attributed expert discussion. Last updated 2026-08-23.