Over 50% of code at major tech companies is now AI-generated, with top engineers no longer writing code themselves.

A single engineer today can do what two full teams of engineers could do two years ago.

“A single engineer can do what you know two teams of engineers could do two years ago.”

Coding will be a completely solved problem by the end of 2026.

“We're 6 monthsish or towards the end of the year to be completely done with code. Like it's a solved problem and then we'll probably hit some form of, you know, light RSI by end of next year.”

At AI labs including OpenAI, research work is shifting to become mostly orchestration-focused, with researchers generating ideas and models handling implementation and execution.

“I think both at OpenAI and at other labs, you're starting to see a lot of the work become mostly orchestration focused, right? Like the research is coming up with the ideas. and the model's great enough to do the implementation execution by itself.”

Models predating Opus 4.6 were already capable enough for fully automated code generation; organizational readiness was the real bottleneck.

“I would even argue that before then we've had models that were sufficient enough to go full auto.”

GitHub is now doing more activity in a month than it did in an entire year the previous year.

“Now we're doing more in a month than we did in a year last year.”

Over 90% of databases at Databricks Neon are built by agents, not by humans.

“At data bricks neon, which is their superbase competitor, over 90% of the databases are built by agents, not by humans.”

Software jobs have not declined despite coding agents because as model taste increases, you need even higher taste people to steer them effectively, and this dynamic will remain true for the considerable future.

“Despite coding agents if anything there are like more software jobs like the number of software jobs has increased not decreased despite the capabilities of coding agents because fundamentally you need very high taste as models get higher taste you need even higher taste people to be able to steer them effectively. And I foresee that being true for the considerable future.”